Wednesday, December 31, 2008

Money sinners in 2008, same old, same old and two good advices



If hell exists and if some are fearful of going to be dammed in eternity, it seems that it misses the point with some of the “experts” that distribute ideas via the talking tube.
Let’s start by the outright liars of 2008, who happen to be the same of 2007 and I am confident they will be the same of 2009.
First the officials, those who are running the show:
The grand prize of misrepresentation and outright lies goes to Fed Chief Greenspan. It took a Congressional hearing for him to accept error. His following act Chief Bernanke is not doing better.
Chief Bernanke blunders with the economic status of the country and continued assertions of "everything is fine" until he got tomatoes thrown at him and had Cramer –also a sinner- screaming like a maniac, it was too late for the economic meltdown and actions to be put in place.
The Secretaries of the Treasury in unison were also big time sinners. The prize has to go back to the pernicious views of Robert Rubin who castrated any regulation with the help of the Senators from New York Schumer and Clinton. This triumvirate set the political doing for the present fiasco.
Secretary Paulson needs to get the prize for "idiocy in economics and purposeful erroneous public statements". The Secretary got caught in so many blunders that had to beg the Chinese and the Saudi clan every other week for a bail-out of the treasury debt, while telling everybody and Congress that he did not see any sign of distress in the economy. While the Secretary had his counter part saying the opposite! Bloomberg news found Mr. Paulson irrational talks funny; to the extent of creating headlines that were incomprehensible.

To the guy with the sign “the buck stops here”, well, no comment, I leave that one to your own assessment.

Big air heads with fancy titles in the talking tube:

Again the “you better ignore him or else” prize, for the past decade and for the next decade goes to the king of misinformation and intention to misrepresent the reality goes to: Lawrence Kudlow of MSNBC.
I am really sad for Kudlow and for having to live a life so full of air and deception to accumulate personal wealth at the expense of the less powerful.
Kudlow is the ultimate insider, whom benefits from others misinformation, he shows it every night. The power of deception in Kudlow’s TV show has no parallel.
Be careful about following Kudlow’s or his buddies forecasts, the probability of been is wrong is almost assured, not because they are not trained or uneducated, but because they are demagogues above anything else.

Cramer is the next in winning the “be careful how you interpret me” prize.
I like Cramer rants, he is sometimes too darn right that one has to wonder if it is his sanity or insanity talking.
The danger with listening to Cramer is that he needs to run a TV show and telling the truth will not gain him access to the people ne needs to get his business going. Cramer has the problem of "the happy herd" mentality, if Kudlow is goldilocks economy, Cramer is "there is bull market somewhere" . Cramer is is afraid the herd will disband if he cries wolf. If things are bad Cramer has the tendency to say is ok to keep saying something even if he is wrong. Think of the show as entertainment with the same purpose of any other TV show, that is to get you watching not matter the content.

To start the New Year after all the bail-outs etc., if you think this is not going to affect you, just wait and see.
So worry a lot about your own comfort level, and start to question how much you have been put to task with your future, and ask of your elected official’s questions, you might find the answers beneficial to have a better plan in 2010.

Now my personal and two best wealth building ideas of the next years:

First listen to a few honest people like Profesor Nouriel Roubini, economist Peter Shiff’s, and the foudner of Vanguard funds John C. Bogel forecasts and opinions. Over the years this trio are shown to be honest and truthful.

Second, be aware of all you buy, put your money to work with america. STrategy is to buy only if it is all “Made in the US” and your all staples should come from less than 100 miles radius from where you live.

If by the end of 2009 you have not save money versus 2008 and help your fellow citizens, throw me a note and tell me why you think it did not work.

Prosperous 2009 !!!!

Monday, December 22, 2008

Ponzi Schemes and Other Dreams of Fortune

Mr. Madoff has brought to the forefront, again, the sad reality on which the present regulatory and investment ethics are grounded, and teh sad acceptance by all.
If you think nothing can be done, I suggest you write a note with your feelings to the Senate Banking Committee.

Express to your elected officials a yawn, yeah or nay, for tough regulatory environment. Either way, let regulators know what you think of the present situation, at this point your opinion counts, amid the flagrant set of scandals they want to hear do people care or it is just another short memory whiohc people will forget.

Let’s give credit to Mr. Madoff.

It was himself who tipped his family and senior employee of the charade. No a single regulatory agency got even a whim of what was cooking, they were to busy covering up the “real” banks schemes.
Do not forget to send a kick in the butt to the SEC for failing to recognize most of the investment and bank practices are no dissimilar to Mr. Madoff scheme. Intentionally, I used the word scheme with pure intent as way to deceive others.
If Mr. Madoff is going to go to jail, thus, the same should occur to the rest of schemers in the banking industry. Those banks receiving billions of dollars in tax payers money are much not different, they too would have collapsed as Mr. Madoff scheme.
Government has failed to investors, citizens and the country. Elected officials continue to fail to stop tax payer’s money use in the cover-ups, from the bank industry too many obscure financial industry pyramid schemes.

The big difference here is that one is operating under the umbrella of regulation and this is only 20% as recognized by the SEC, and 80% is unregulated in many forms of schemes.

Mr. Madoff major case against him is that he ran and unregulated operations, the same were SWAP and many CDOS and off the books operations in most banks and investment houses around the country.

We only have a solution that is to replace in mass all head regulators for failing at their jobs. That must include the Federal Reserve chairman whom was a proponent of such unregulated instruments.
When you fail to discipline you end up with self-destruction and that is not a good path to follow.

We all have dreams of fortune.
It has become so prevalent to scam around investments that it is an ethical stand that is perceived as acceptable and to some extend considered as part of the “process” to the leaders of the country.
The latest research conducted at major universities from where the next generation of leaders will come such as Harvard, Yale and other Ivy League schools shows that we are in ethical trouble.
The latest study shows that most MBA graduates are willing to comprise their ethics for money. When money is so easy to take from others in a questionable and illegal way and the penalty is so lame, the risk-reward ratio is tilted towards the unethical. Who is going to take the task of reeducating and creating tough white collar penalties for people who affect social well been.